Palm Beach County’s Voter Registration Changes – June 2023
Bottom Line: Last year’s record setting election cycle for Republicans in Florida has changed the entire political perception of it. No longer the ultimate swing state, we’re now viewed as a red state. The state’s latest voter registration information reflected the continued surge in Republican momentum in Florida in this off-election year along with continued issues for Florida’s Democrats who continue to see significant declines in registered voters. But what about what’s happening closest to home?
The record performance in November’s elections for Republicans wouldn’t have been possible if not for the flipping of two of Florida’s three largest counties - Miami-Dade and Palm Beach. But while Palm Beach County broke for the entire Republican cabinet for the first-time ever, Democrats still held a large voter registration advantage over Republicans on Election Day. So, a key question remains...is Palm Beach County’s post-Election Day trend consistent with the state? Is the political shift towards the right sustaining closest to home in one of the state's largest and most reliably blue counties?
At the peak of the Democrat voter registration advantage in Palm Beach County Democrats held an advantage of 138,400 voters. Where do we stand today? Democrats now hold an advantage of 85,830 registered voters in PBC. Republicans have eaten into the Democrats’ advantage by a staggering 9,381 net voters month-over-month, and 15,718 voters year-to-date. The local trend continues to indicate the county is continuing to mirror the state’s overall trend – though Palm Beach County produced the best performance for Republicans and worst performance for Democrats of any county over the past month. There’s another notable takeaway here. This year marks the first in which Democrats have held a voter registration advantage that’s lower than 100,000 voters in Palm Beach County since George W. Bush was president.