An update on Florida's biggest races - The race to be our Senator
Bottom Line: Before getting started it's important to point out that this race is a general election match up but only one of the candidates, Bill Nelson, doesn't have to win an election first. Governor Rick Scott has a primary challenge from Rocky De La Fuente he must win first. While a win is highly likely for Scott, Rocky is showing support around 20% in the Republican primary race. That being said...
This is the first update in three weeks and there’s been one constant over the past few in this race. Governor Scott has led in every poll that’s been released. Since then we've had three accredited polls roll in and Survey says...
Nelson: 40%
Scott: 44%
Undecided/third party 16%
Unlike the polling we’ve recently seen that’s been a very mixed bag in the Gubernatorial primary races – we're seeing a lot of consistency in the polling in this race. Scott’s leading but it’s very much an open race with a high number of undecided voters which is unusual for an election featuring two candidates that’ve both won multiple statewide elections and retain name recognition that’s about as high as you could have outside of a Presidential election.
It's worth noting the wild cards that exist with these two candidates. Bill Nelson's a federal politician with a vote pending on the nomination of a potential Supreme Court justice in Brett Kavanagh. How does he vote? How will that vote impact this race?
Rick Scott is our Governor. Clearly anything significant within our state that requires his attention is a wild card. None the least of which would be a hurricane for example.
Until next update...