President Trump will likely be re-elected - here’s why
Bottom Line: As Spartacus (Corey Booker) & co., have already begun to test the political waters in early primary states like Iowa and South Carolina, pundits and pollsters have already begun to ask about 2020. Let’s start here. The odds are that President Donald Trump will be re-elected in 2020. Why?
65% of Presidents who run for re-election win
So, whomever runs from the left will be at a historical disadvantage from the onset. Once we get passed the midterms, I’ll be able to provide more specific information based on President Trump’s overall performance. Something that’s often overlooked by media and those who oppose an incumbent President is what it would take for someone who voted for the President previously not to vote for them again. It has happened of course. George H.W. Bush’s “read my lips no new taxes” promise that he broke led to Ross Perot running, splitting the vote and allowing Bill Clinton to win. Or in the case of a Jimmy Carter failing at pretty much everything allowing Ronald Regan to win. But if one voted for Donald Trump in 2016, why wouldn’t they vote for him in 2020? Two Supreme Court Justices, tax reform, end of ACA mandate, lowest unemployment rate in 49 years, record low unemployment rates for all demographics except Asian and white men, biggest increase in net take home pay in 32 years, significant foreign policy progress including the near eradication of ISIS.
Arguably, he’s in a better position to win new voters over as opposed to losing previous support. That’ll be the key to 2020. Not who the Democratic candidate happens to be but how we view President Trump’s performance by the election. Presidential Elections are always a referendum on the current President. A lot can change in two years but after less than two years his record is truly as impressive as any in at least modern political history.