Election Day – Trump vs. Obama
Bottom Line: It’s Election Day and usually I share this as a weekly looking into what’s moving the needle politically. Instead today, on Election Day, here’s a temperature check looking at where we stand on our public opinion of President Trump and our view of the direction of the country today compared to where we were at this same point on Election Day 2010.
- Trump's lowest ratings: 37% approval and 59% disapproval: -22% (8/4/17)
- Trump highest approval ratings 45% approval and 43% disapproval (1/27/17): +2%
- Trump's current ratings: 44% approval and 53% disapproval: -9%
President Trump’s net approval has held near his all-time high as we’re entering Election Day. As has been the case for almost his entire presidency, Trump’s approval rating is highest with the more engaged/informed politically though the gap has narrowed considerably as we’re closing in on Election Day.
- With adult only samples his rating over the past week averaged: 40%
- Registered voters: 44%
- Likely voters: 46%
So, what about President Obama’s ratings in 2010? President Trump’s approval rating is one point higher than President Obama's average approval rating on this date in his second year in office and three points higher with likely voters.
Looking at the direction of the country this week...
Where we stood in the 2010 midterms:
- Right Direction: 31%
- Wrong Track: 62%
- Net: -31%
Today:
- Right Direction: 42%
- Wrong Track: 53%
- Net: -11%
Change: +20% under Trump
We enter the 2018 midterm election 20% more optimistic as a county as compared with the 2010 midterm election cycle... The question is if it’ll translate for Republicans today.
Until next week...