June's Hurricane History & a preview of the 2019 season
Bottom Line: Hurricane season is once again upon us. Last year's hurricane season was 25% more active than normal and for the first time since the 04’ - 05’ hurricane seasons, Florida was impacted by a major hurricane in back to back years. With this year’s hurricane season predictions in...
Here's a breakdown of this year's forecasts and June's history.
- According to Colorado State University we'll have 13 named storms, NOAA says 12 (midpoint of their guidance), the Weather Channel is predicting 14
- Of those storms CSU says 5 will become hurricanes, NOAA says 6 (midpoint), Weather Channel is at 6
- Put them altogether and we average 13 named storms and six hurricanes
Were that to happen we’d have a slightly above average hurricane season.As we enter the “official” start of hurricane season,we’ve already hadour first named stormfor the fifth consecutive year.
Going back to the onset of record keeping for tropical storms and hurricanes - 1851 - here's how much activity has taken place in June:
- 5% of all tropical storms
- 3% of all hurricanes
Something to keep in mind is that June storms generally form closer to the US and are more likely to make landfall. While just 3% of all hurricanes have formed in June, 7% of all landfalls in the US have occurred during the month.
Here's the good news... 2% of the storms that form occur prior to hurricane season...So technically we're 2% of the way through hurricane season as it begins... Only 98% to go!