Super Tuesday Results- It’s all about the delegates
Bottom Line: Yesterday was biggest day of the primary cycle.Fourteen states and two territories had their say in the Presidential primary process. This includes the two largest states in the country,Texas and California.And these are the key takeaways...
- Mission accomplished by the DNC – Biden’s momentum from South Carolina along with the strategy to chase Buttigieg and Klobuchar from the race successfully propelled Biden to an overall Super Tuesday win
- It’s clear the race is down to only two viable candidates. Biden and Sanders. Warren’s losses on Tuesday, including in her home state, provide no path forward for her.Ditto Bloomberg who had his first showings in this contest - though he’s actually now third in the race passing Warren and Buttigieg. He’s now spent $500 million to win American Samoa. That’s not going to cut it.
- The overall leader in this race remains...A contested convention.More on that one in a moment.
Here’s who won what on Tuesday:
- Biden: Alabama, Arkansas, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia
- Bloomberg: American Samoa
- Sanders: California, Colorado, Utah, Vermont
- Maine is too close to call
The Democrat’s road to the nomination is a delegate race to 1990 pledged Delegates. With Buttigieg and Klobuchar out, here’s who has what based on the current delegate allocations:
- Biden: 360
- Sanders: 280
- Bloomberg :30
- Warren: 20
- Gabbard: 1
There were 1,357 pledged delegates available on Super Tuesday. That’s more than will be available in all remaining contests in March, including ours in Florida, combined. By the time all Super Tuesday delegates are allocated 38% of all available delegates will be accounted for in the Democrat’s race. Many delegates are yet to be awarded while final results are tabulated but here’s what we know. Based on the current allocated delegates Biden is just short of the pace needed to avoid a contested convention. He’s pacing 49.7%. His current pace would leave him twelve pledged delegates short of avoiding a contested convention. I’ll update the totals tomorrow.