It’s all about the delegates - The state of the Democrat’s race after Super Tuesday
Bottom Line: After the dust has fully settled on Super Tuesday and the delegates have been awarded, we have a clear picture of where we are in this race.
And these are the key takeaways...
- Mission accomplished by the DNC – Biden’s momentum from South Carolina along with the strategy to chase Buttigieg and Klobuchar from the race successfully propelled Biden to an overall Super Tuesday win.
- It’s clear the race is down to only two viable candidates. Biden and Sanders. And Bloomberg acknowledged as much by packing it in after having spent $700 million and only having American Samoa to show for it.
- If Bernie Sanders is going to have a chance in this race, Elisabeth Warren needs to drop out. She stands to siphon voters away from Bernie that he can’t afford to lose if he’s to have a chance to pull out a win.
- The overall leader in this race remains...A contested convention. More on that one in a moment.
Here’s who won what on Tuesday:
- Biden: Alabama, Arkansas,Maine,Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia
- Sanders: California, Colorado, Utah, Vermont
The Democrat’s road to the nomination is a delegate race to 1990 pledged Delegates. With Bloomberg, Buttigieg and Klobuchar out, here’s who has what based on the current delegate allocations:
- Biden: 573
- Sanders: 508
- Warren: 64
- Gabbard: 1
By the time all Super Tuesday delegates are allocated, 38% of all available delegates will be accounted for in the Democrat’s race. Based on the current allocated delegates Biden is still short of the pace needed to avoid a contested convention. He’s pacing 46.5%. His current pace would leave him 140 pledged delegates short of avoiding a contested convention.