Updated: Florida voter registration by party
Bottom Line: We’re under 100 days from Election Day, and just three weeks away from Florida’s Primary Day. Soon early voting will be underway. It begins August 3rd in Miami-Dade and Palm Beach Counties with Broward starting early voting on the 8th. During the pandemic much of the typical reporting by state agencies has been delayed as remote work is often taking place with a smaller staff than usual. As a result, after having just received the complete voter registration totals from the month of May last week from the state, we now have June’s completed voter registration totals.
While it’s still unclear what the political landscape will look like in November, we do know what changes have taken place with voter registration in Florida most recently. Here are the takeaways:
- Republicans gained ground on Democrats for a third consecutive month
- NPA’s continued to reregister in a political party to participate in partisan primary races
- New voter registrations gained speed in June, after light activity due to the pandemic in April & May
After two years of gains by Republicans, Democrats have outpaced Republicans in overall registrations in 2020. This appears to have been driven by the Democrat’s Presidential Primary in March. Since April, Republicans have once again begun to outpace Democrats in voter registrations. Here’s the year over year change in voter registration by party in Florida through June:
- DEM: +156,034
- GOP: +130,942
- Minor: +21,319
- NPA: -35,674
Democrats have added 25,092 more voters than Republicans year over year – though Republicans did narrow the gap by 16,732 voters over the past month and about 37,000 over the past three. Not all registered Democrats or Republicans vote for all politicians of their political party but of course, most do.
The current breakout of registered voters looks like this...
- DEM: 37.2%
- GOP: 35.4%
- Minor: 1.2%
- NPA: 26.1%
The longer-term trend is favorable for Republicans due to gains made since the 2016 cycle. Democrats held a 2.5% advantage on Election Day 2016 when Donald Trump won Florida. Democrat’s hold a 1.8% advantage currently. To be continued...