Florida’s Voter Registration By Party – June 2021
Bottom Line: Florida’s voter registration trends in the wake of the 2020 election cycle were clear. Defections from both major political parties with Republicans hemorrhaging the most in our state. This was especially significant because Florida has continued to see a significant influx of new residents and registered voters. It was clear, tens of thousands of Floridians were turned off by both parties and opted for neither. With the most recent update from the Florida Division of Elections, defections continued from both political parties, though Democrats took the brunt of it. Remarkably, despite reports of an influx of around 900 new residents per day, there are a total of 33,798 fewer registered voters today compared to a month ago. That type of phenomenon is most likely to be largely a result of voter rolls being cleaned up during the month (with deceased registered voters and those who moved out of Florida being removed from rolls).
Changes in year-to-date voter registration information:
- DEM: -48,090 (-27,144 same as prior month)
- GOP: -40,580 (-5,256 from prior month)
- NPA/Other: +46,735 (-1,398 from prior month)
Aside from the oddity that all political registrations were lower during the month, there is a significant storyline. While the most popular choice for newly registered or reregistered voters has been none of the above in 2021, and that remained the case in April, the Democrat defections were huge. Not only did Democrats lose more registered voters in Florida in April than in the three prior months combined, they’ve now lost 7,510 more voters than Republicans this year. This resumes the multiyear gains by Republicans relative to Democrats in our state. Most notably, the Democrat’s advantage in voter registrations is now the lowest in Florida’s history.
The current breakout of registered voters looks like this...
- DEM: 36.3%
- GOP: 35.7%
- NPA/Other: 28%
Democrats retain only a 0.6% advantage over Republicans in voter registration. This resumption of Republicans gaining political ground supports the notion that Florida’s increasingly moving from being a purple state into red state territory. This development is especially notable if it continues heading into the 2022 election cycle. Until next month...
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