No (Meaningful) Super Tuesday Surprises & The Most Important Race - Top 3 Takeaways – March 6th, 2024
- No (Meaningful) surprises. Super Tuesday has come and gone as so too have any chances for candidates not named Joe Biden and Donald Trump to become the Democrat and Republican Party nominees for president. Yes, Nikki Haley won Vermont. Yes, Jason Palmer, beat Joe Biden in American Samoa (he’s a business guy in case you’re wondering and also proof that Democrats in American Samoa have more sense than many mainland Democrats). No, there’s no remaining doubt about how these nomination contests end. Following Super Tuesday’s election results former President Donald Trump’s win rate stands at 91% of all available pledged delegates with President Biden raking in 99%. Technically over half of the country has yet to vote (only 23 states have voted to date). Technically Donald Trump nor Joe Biden have officially clinched the necessary number of pledged delegates to be known as presumptive nominees. Effectually however, these races are over as both Trump and Biden can clinch their party’s nomination as soon as next week and likely will. The only meaningful question remaining now in the nomination season is if the writing on the wall is enough for...
- Nikki Haley to call it quits in this race (which we now know will happen). Right along Haley’s long shot bid largely hinged on one major event that was originally scheduled for this week, but that didn’t happen, and possibility never will. Donald Trump’s federal J-6 case. So much has been happening so fast with so many different cases involving the former and perhaps future President of the United States that it can be easy to forget that until just recently that case was scheduled to start on this past Monday – just before Super Tuesday. Would the start of the case have mattered to Super Tuesday voters? I doubt it. But that was always Haley’s only real path to a potential win. To remain in the race as what you might call the “conviction candidate”, or the one left standing for potentially Trump voters scared off by the threat of a criminal conviction. With the Stormy Daniels hush money New York state case, which is set to start later this month, currently standing as the only case with an actual start date...that ship has sailed. There really isn’t a place in this race for her anymore. As I’ve mentioned many times...even if Donald Trump were to have been convicted of all 91 charges brought against him in all four of the criminal cases being attempted against him, he could still be elected and serve as President of the United States. Having all but officially clinched the needed number of pledged delegates to make that happen. There’s no turning back now and no path forward for Nikki Haley. Her donors know this, and Nikki knows this. It’s the end of the line this time. By the way...about the no turning back thing. That goes for Joe Biden too. He is all but officially the Democrat’s nominee. Conspiracy theories about a convention replacement continue to run rampant but unless Joe goes home for good (and why would he have run a reelection campaign up to this point if that was the plan) – it's not happening. There were and there are no surprises for president this year...despite the many dramatic twists and turns involving the candidates in this race.
- Potentially the most important race. The most effectual elections which took place on Super Tuesday weren’t the ones you’ve heard about. It’s local elections that played out across the country. There’s one race in particular I’d pegged as potentially being the most important of last night’s elections. The Austin Texas DA race. In recent years we’ve seen the voters in the bluest cities continue to double down on dump decisions. We’ve had examples like New York City trading one woke and ineffectual mayor for another and Chicago doing the same. The question is whether there comes a point when the policies are so bad, and the harm done to communities is so pervasive, that the woke voters in those jurisdictions wake up and vote with some degree of common sense. Ground zero for the dismantling of our criminal justice system hasn’t come from the top of the political spectrum. It’s come from the bottom, or the grassroots level to be more precise. George Soros spent decades attempting to achieve socialist political outcomes in this country mostly unsuccessfully...until somewhat recently. It was Soros’ effort to fund his preferred candidates in local DA races that’s done more to negatively transform communities across the country than any other actions he’d ever attempted. There was a litmus test that took place in Austin yesterday. Soros backed DA Jose Garza, who’s spent more time assisting criminals in his community to avoid prosecution than he has prosecuting criminals to protect his community. He was up for reelection in a challenged Democrat primary. Notably Austin’s crime rate and homeless problem has never been worse. His primary challenger promised to prosecute crimes, not help facilitate them, Jeremy Sylestine. So, what happened? Have even the most woke liberals finally had enough to vote for what’s in their best interests? The answer is no. By a greater than 2 to 1 margin Austin’s Democrats stayed with DA Jose Garza. What this illustrates is that George Soros remains an effective figure within local elections and that Democrats still aren’t willing to course correct within their party even under dire circumstances within their own communities. This means they must be defeated at the ballot box.