Tracking Trump - The President's approval for February 9th
Bottom Line: This is one of two weekly tracking stories to get a reality/temperature check with regard to what's really going on with public opinion of the President. In this series we'll track the high point, low point and current ratings...
Trump's lowest ratings: 37% approval and 59% disapprove: -22% (8/4/17)
Trump highest approval ratings were an average 45% approval and 43% disapproval +2% (1/27/17):
Trump's current ratings: 41% approval and 55% disapproval: -14%
A week after President Trump's approval rating took its biggest one week jump since September - it gave back three percent over the past week. That's not really the story here however. The narrative I've advanced about the difference in informed and engaged people compared to the least informed and engaged has never been wider.
As I've been tracking for several months now...The more likely someone is to vote, the higher the President's overall approval rating.
With adult only samples his rating over the past week averaged: 38%
Registered voters: 43%
Likely voters: 48%
That's an incredible gap and story. A 10 point spread between likely voters vs. adults. A 5 point gap with between registered vs. likely voters. This is especially relevant as we're entering the mid-term election cycle. The more informed/engaged you are politically, the more likely you are to approve of the president's performance. This demonstrates that the most informed adults weren't persuaded by the tale tales in Wolff's book, weren't moved by s-hole gate and didn't blame President Trump for the partial government shutdown and did respond positively to the President's State of the Union address. With the deadline budget deal and tax reform's impact starting to impact more paychecks - there's potentially room for upside from current levels.
The range this week was Rasmussen – 3% to IBD/TIPP -23%