Weekly political update – President Trump's ratings & reelection odds

Weekly political update – President Trump's ratings & reelection odds

Bottom Line: This is a weekly story to get a reality/temperature check regarding what's really going on with public opinion of the President and our view of the direction of the country. First here's the high point, low point and current ratings for President Trump...  

  • Trump's lowest ratings: 37% approval (8/4/17)            
  • Trump highest approval ratings: 45% approval (1/27/17)                   
  • Trump's current ratings: 44% approval

The first update in a couple of weeks shows President Trump up a point to 44% average approval in the wake of the dust settling post-Mueller report. It’s notable that at the end of the two-year Trump/Russia collusion charade, President Trump is within a point of his highest average rating and looking very strong with likely voters.

It’s been the case throughout his term thus far, that the more informed and engaged someone is politically – the more likely they are to approve of President Trump. That’s certainly the case once again this week. 

  • Adult only samples averaged: 40%                    
  • Registered voters: 42%                                              
  • Likely voters: 50%         

A ten-point difference between your average man on the street reax vs likely voters continues to speak volumes about the informational disconnect. If he maintains 50% support with likely voters, he’d be the prohibitive favorite to win re-election. What you never hear reported are the ratings of the Democratic leaders opposing him. Let’s just say they’d need a huge push of support to simply catch President Trump’s approval ratings. Here’s the latest...  

  • Pelosi: 37% 
  • Schumer: 28%

What does that tell you about what’s really going on in this country? Pelosi is seven points behind Trump and Schumer is 16 points behind the president in overall approval. Looking at the direction of the country this week...                              

Where we stood on Inauguration Day:      

  • Right Direction: 30%                                                                                                           

Today:                  

  • Right Direction: 38%                                             

That’s flat this week and we are 8% collectively more optimistic than we were during the

 

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