Tracking Trump - The President's approval for October 20th:
Bottom Line: This is one of two weekly tracking stories to get a reality/temperature check with regard to what's really going on with public opinion of the President. In this series we'll track the high point, low point and current ratings...
Trump's lowest ratings: 37% approval and 59% disapprove: -22% (8/4/17)
Trump highest approval ratings were an average 45% approval and 43% disapproval +2% (1/27/17)
Trump's current ratings: 39% approval and 56% disapprove: -17%
President Trump's rating was flat this week. This is actually the first week of his Presidency that didn't have some type of swing in his overall performance among Americans. There is an emerging trend within President Trump's ratings that's fairly relevant. The more likely someone is to vote. The higher his overall approval rating.
With adult only samples his rating over the past week has averaged: 37%
Registered voters only: 40%
Likely voters: 41%
It might not seem like much on the surface but in the grand scheme of political outcomes it's potentially huge (though clearly the difference between 46%-50% is potentially more important than 37% to 41% but it all matters as we advance towards an election cycle). We're in an important window of time with the looming budget deal and potential for tax reform behind it. What's notable was the lack of movement this week in the wake of the President's executive action on the ACA subsidies late last week.
The range was Emerson -6 to Gallup -23%
Until next week...