Florida’s early voting update with only a few days to go
Bottom Line: Reading too much into any one particular voting stat is never a good idea. Elections are too complicated to get a good read of by any one stat. Early voting stats are relevant though as long as you don’t look for only what you want to look for and don’t get carried away with potential implications of who’s showing up to vote. With our primaries under a week away here’s what’s up across Florida.
As of Thursday...
- Republicans: 646,610 (47%)
- Democrats: 579,551 (42%)
- No party: 151,234 (11%)
- 3rd Party: 4,429 (.03%)
Republicans have cast 67,000+ more votes thus far which is pretty notable at this point in the cycle. There are more Democrats registered in Florida than Republicans. Republicans make up just 35% of the state's voter registration with Democrats at 37%. Republicans are outperforming registration by 12% compared to out-performance of 5% for Democrats. Republicans hold an advantage in voting in ballots received through the mail in addition to in person early voting. Republicans are clearly continuing the strong start with early voting in the primaries - which would seem to indicate that in Florida – there's plenty of enthusiasm on the right with no indication of a blue wave in our state as of now. With wide open primaries for Governor on both sides of the isle at the top of the ticket, this primary cycle is a fair assessment of overall partisan enthusiasm. So far so good for Republicans. We’ll see if that continues.