The state of the Democrat’s race after Super Tuesday

It’s all about the delegates - The state of the Democrat’s race after Super Tuesday

Bottom Line: After the dust has fully settled on Super Tuesday and the delegates have been awarded, we have a clear picture of where we are in this race. 

And these are the key takeaways...

  1. Mission accomplished by the DNC – Biden’s momentum from South Carolina along with the strategy to chase Buttigieg and Klobuchar from the race successfully propelled Biden to an overall Super Tuesday win.
  2. It’s clear the race is down to only two viable candidates. Biden and Sanders. And Bloomberg acknowledged as much by packing it in after having spent $700 million and only having American Samoa to show for it. 
  3. If Bernie Sanders is going to have a chance in this race, Elisabeth Warren needs to drop out. She stands to siphon voters away from Bernie that he can’t afford to lose if he’s to have a chance to pull out a win.
  4. The overall leader in this race remains...A contested convention. More on that one in a moment. 

Here’s who won what on Tuesday: 

  • Biden: Alabama, Arkansas,Maine,Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia
  • Sanders: California, Colorado, Utah, Vermont

The Democrat’s road to the nomination is a delegate race to 1990 pledged Delegates. With Bloomberg, Buttigieg and Klobuchar out, here’s who has what based on the current delegate allocations:

  • Biden: 573
  • Sanders: 508
  • Warren: 64
  • Gabbard: 1

By the time all Super Tuesday delegates are allocated, 38% of all available delegates will be accounted for in the Democrat’s race. Based on the current allocated delegates Biden is still short of the pace needed to avoid a contested convention. He’s pacing 46.5%. His current pace would leave him 140 pledged delegates short of avoiding a contested convention. 

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