Florida voter registration by party – May 2020
Bottom Line: The 2020 election cycle has taken a back seat to the pandemic over the past few months but here we are only a little more than five months away from Election Day. It’ll all happen quickly from here. Virus or no virus. We all know how important Florida is in any Presidential Election cycle. While it’s unclear what the political landscape will look like coming out of the pandemic, we do know what changes have taken place with voter registration in Florida in the mist of it. The news continues to be generally good for Democrats.
Based on the latest voter registration data from the state, gains have been made by minor parties and Republicans but the largest gains have come with newly registered Democrats. After two years of gains by Republicans, Democrats have stepped up their registration efforts significantly in 2020. While the Presidential primary process provided more motivation for would-be Democrats than Republicans to register early this year, the momentum has continued beyond the Presidential primary vote. These are Florida voter registration changes by party year over year.
- DEM: +159,186
- GOP: +95,666
- Minor: +8,209
- NPA: -33,784
Democrats have added over 63,000 more new voters than Republicans year over year. That’s a margin which exceeds the victory margin for both Rick Scott and Ron DeSantis in 2018 - though President Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by over 100,000 votes in 2016. Now, not all registered Democrats or Republicans vote for all politicians of their political party but of course most do. It’s a significant gain over a year ago for Democrats and if the momentum continues the implications could be significant up and down the ballot this November.
The current breakout of registered voters looks like this...
- DEM: 37.4%
- GOP: 35.3%
- Minor: 1.1%
- NPA: 26.2%
The longer-term trend is still favorable for Republicans due to gains made since the 2016 cycle. Democrats held a 2.5% advantage on Election Day 2016 when Donald Trump won Florida. Democrat’s hold a 2.1% advantage currently. To be continued...