Florida’s post-Election Day voter registration by party
Bottom Line: This year’s election cycle proved to be the best for Republicans in Florida’s history. Come January there will be more elected Republicans in Florida than at any other point in history. This is in part the result of four pickups in the state legislature and the flipping of two Congressional seats in South Florida. Additionally, President Trump won Florida by nearly three times the margin of 2016’s election. All of this has led to many wondering if Florida is no longer a swing state. Of course, of only time and future elections will tell the story. But there was one key tell heading into Election Day that Florida’s Republicans were set for a good day. Republicans added 196,186 more voters than Democrats over the past four years. The final voter registration totals for those eligible to vote on Election Day included the slimmest voter registration advantage, less than 1%, Democrats have had since party registration began in 1972.
While all of the focus on voter registration is on Georgia right now, Florida just posted the most recent monthly voter registration totals which includes changes with those who’ve registered after Election Day. Are the pre-Election Day trends holding?
Here’s the year over year change in voter registration by party in Florida:
- DEM: +349,445
- GOP: +457,610
- NPA/Other: +225,108
And here’s the current breakout on a percentage basis:
- DEM: 36.6%
- GOP: 35.8%
- NPA/Other: 27.6%
The GOP voter registration surge didn’t stop with Election Day. Republican registrations have outpaced Democrats by greater than 108,000 over the past year and Democrats once again hold their slimmest advantage on record, 0.8%. By comparison Democrats led Republicans in registrations by 2.5% on Election Day 2016. While future elections will tell the story as to if Florida is still a swing-state, voter registration trends will likely provide insight well before the 2022 midterm elections.
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