Florida’s Updated Voter Registration by Party – June 2023
Bottom Line: The Florida Division of Elections has provided the update for all eligible voter registrations through May. The trend hasn’t been the friend of Florida’s Democrats in recent years. For the better part of twenty years Republicans steadily ate away at the voter registration advantage Florida’s Democrats had held since the onset of partisan voter record keeping in the 1970’s. By November of 2021, amid massive pandemic induced relocations, Republican voter registrations outnumbered Democrats for the first time. And every month since the GOP advantage by way of voter registration has grown. Earlier this year, Florida’s Democrats opted to head in a new direction with party leadership tapping former Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried to lead the party going forward. Has the shift in leadership resulted in a shifting of voter partisanship?
These are the year-to-date voter registration information:
- DEM: -112,953 (-19,579 last month)
- GOP: -757 (+3,791 last month)
- NPA/Other: +1,216 (-9,140 last month)
The current breakout of registered voters looks like this...
- DEM: 33.3%
- GOP: 36.8%
- NPA/Other: 29.9%
In the answer in short remains no. Not only has Nikki hasn’t stopped the trend of Democrat defections, but the pace of Democrat defections has only ramped up in recent months. Notably only Republican registrations rose last month with Democrat defections remaining the largest. Republicans yet again have a record voter registration advantage in Florida. The Republican advantage relative to Democrats now stands at a record 496,150 voters with a net change of 23,370 to the advantage of the GOP in May alone. With current trends in place, it’s possible that by that by the 2024 election cycle NPA registrations could be threatening to overtake Democrats in the state. There was another big development over the past month as well.
Of Florida’s 67 counties – only 12 now have Democrat majorities by way of voter registration. Notably, while Republicans won all but five counties last November, Democrats held voter registration advantages in 13 of them. During the month of May, Liberty County flipped to a Republican majority for the first time in the county’s history. If current trends hold, there could be others which do the same before Election Day 2024.