Voter Registration Updates for Palm Beach, Martin & Indian River – August 22nd, 2024
Bottom Line: 2022's record setting election cycle for Republicans in Florida has changed the entire political perception of it. No longer the ultimate swing state, we’re now viewed as a red state. The state’s latest voter registration information reflected the continued surge in Republican momentum in Florida. Last week, via the latest data drop from The Florida Division of Elections, we learned that the trend has carried into this presidential election year. The Republican advantage over Democrats now stands at a record of over 1 million voters.
The record performance for Republicans in 2022’s midterm elections wouldn’t have been possible if not for the flipping of two of Florida’s three largest counties - Miami-Dade and Palm Beach. While Palm Beach County broke for the entire Republican cabinet for the first-time ever, Democrats still held a large voter registration advantage over Republicans on Election Day. What we’ve seen since, by way of voter registration changes, suggests that Palm Beach County’s rightward turn in the previous election cycle wasn’t an outlier.
At the peak of the Democrat voter registration advantage in Palm Beach County Democrats held an advantage of 138,400 voters. Democrats now hold an advantage of 47,408. Democrats halted the GOP winning streak in PBC over the past month as there were 71 more registered Democrats over the past month than Republicans in advance of the August Primary Election. This marked the first month in over three years Democrats have gained ground against Republicans in the Palm Beaches. This will be worth watching in the leadup to Election Day in November.
- In Martin County Republicans now hold an advantage of 36,027 voters, which is a net gain of 343 voters by Republicans since the previous update
- In Indian River County Republicans currently hold an advantage of 33,906 voters, a net gain of 1,585 voters by Republicans since the previous update
In the lead up to the August Primary Election Florida’s red counties trended redder while the state’s blue counties generally held their ground over the past month. Still, the biggest storyline continues to be Florida’s blue counties becoming far less blue with Palm Beach County representing ground zero for that storyline.